Tuesday, April 18, 2006

Incertidumbre Estrategica: Como disminuirla?



Parte I.-

Uno de los factores que muchas veces las empresan no analizan, tiene que ver con la incertidumbre existente en el mercado, en el país, en la economia, etc.
La incertidumbre estratégica significa un enfoque practico hacia las incertidumbres mas importantes del entorno que afectan a la superviviencia de la empresa.
Esta, puede estar determinada en dos fases:
1.- La primera fase tiene por objeto, determinar el numero de competidores que estan tratando de encontrar una adaptacion mutua y el de fuente de obtencion de nuevas ideas estratégicas, provenientes de clientes, suministros, admisnitracion publica, universidades, etc., que pueden establecer una vía determinada de adaptacion con la que se alcance el exito. Esto daria el numero de posibles opciones y variables estratégicas a considerar.
2.- La segunda fase consiste en plantear las otras posibles incertidumbres que se presentan al escoger entre las diversas opciones y variables estrategicas, en terminos de inestabilidad, ignorancia e interdependencia.

La escasez de recursos y la incertidumbre estratégica son dos vías para caracterizar las condicionantes del entorno. Pero estas dos condicionantes dependen de otras variables que quizás ayuden a explicar más directamente los fenomenos de adaptacion.

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